UK Ministry of Defense Future "Probability"

As reported from the Guardian http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/story/0,,2053020,00.html titled Revolution, flashmobs, and brain chips. A grim vision of the future by Richard Norton-Taylor Monday April 9, 2007

This is the world in 30 years' time envisaged by a Ministry of Defence team responsible for painting a picture of the "future strategic context" likely to face Britain's armed forces. It includes an "analysis of the key risks and shocks". Rear Admiral Chris Parry, head of the MoD's Development, Concepts & Doctrine Centre which drew up the report, describes the assessments as "probability-based, rather than predictive".

The 90-page report comments on widely discussed issues such as the growing economic importance of India and China, the militarisation of space, and even what it calls "declining news quality" with the rise of "internet-enabled, citizen-journalists" and pressure to release stories "at the expense of facts". It includes other, some frightening, some reassuring, potential developments that are not so often discussed.

New Weapons
The report addresses topics such as New Weapons, naming electromagnetic pulse and neutron bombs capable of wiping out communications and any beings without harming buildings or other infrastructure. 

Marxism
Interestingly it identifies Marxism as being a potential problem "The middle classes could become a revolutionary class, taking the role envisaged for the proletariat by Marx," says the report. The thesis is based on a growing gap between the middle classes and the super-rich on one hand and an urban under-class threatening social order: "The world's middle classes might unite, using access to knowledge, resources and skills to shape transnational processes in their own class interest". Marxism could also be revived, it says, because of global inequality.

Pressures leading to social unrest
By 2010 more than 50% of the world's population will be living in urban rather than rural environments, leading to social deprivation and "new instability risks", and the growth of shanty towns. By 2035, that figure will rise to 60%. Migration will increase.

Islamic militancy
The report also suggests a rise in Islamic "political militancy, including radical political Islam whose concept of Umma, the global Islamic community, and resistance to capitalism may lie uneasily in an international system based on nation-states and global market forces".

Iran
Interestingly Iran is addresses as a nation that my move towards a "vibrant democracy" as a consequence of "its high proportion of younger people, will want to benefit from increased access to globalisation and diversity".  Perhaps Britain and the U.S. are not intending to invade Iran?

Terrorism
In regard to terrorism, it states that casualties and the amount of damage inflicted by terrorism will stay low compared to other forms of coercion and conflict.

Climate change
Interestingly the report addresses climate change suggesting that global warming could decrease the salinity in the ocean and thereby decrease the oceans warming effect on Europe potentially causing "The drop in temperature might exceed that of the miniature ice age of the 17th and 18th centuries.".  Guess the authors must have watched that fictional movie suggesting a future iceage."



A Bright Future Awaits Us If We Can Get Out From Under Current Politicians and Their Controlling Bankers
@ Liberty For Life we believe that the future need not be as frightening as these politicians paint.  Education, which can be effectively digitized, now has the potential of economically reaching the masses and thereby eliminating starvation and increasing the general standard of living of people around the world.  It has been shown that population growth decreases with education, to a point where in Europe there is even negative population growth.  This was a key project of Liberty For Life's founder's company www.InfoTelsys.com.  InfoTelesys was however wiped out when the U.S. government attempted to assassinate our founder.